General Discussion

General DiscussionSmurfing Experiment Done!

Smurfing Experiment Done! in General Discussion
JingleJangle

    I can give you my stats so that you guys can have an idea on how Dota 2 MMR System works. My main was 3437 Solo and 3290 Party.

    I calibrated at 4538 (3 wins - 7 loss)
    The stats below were my stats before I started calibrating.

    - 5.81 KDA
    - 53.75% Winrate
    - 467 GPM
    - 518 XPM
    - 39.85 LH/10 Mins
    - 2.23 DH/10 Mins

    My TBD games

    - 1st game (4300+ MMR, Loss) (Naga Siren 10/7/18 K/D/A)

    - 2nd game (4400+ MMR, Loss) (Enigma 2/7/16 K/D/A)

    - 3rd game (4500+ MMR, Loss) (Wind Ranger 8/3/5 K/D/A)

    - 4th game (4600+ MMR, Loss) (Storm Spirit 6/8/13 K/D/A)

    - 5th game (4500+ MMR, Win) (Wind Ranger 22/3/4 K/D/A)

    - 6th game (4500+ MMR, Loss) (Anti Mage 3/6/5 K/D/A)

    - 7th game (4500+ MMR, Loss) (Nature's Prophet 10/13/11 K/D/A)

    - 8th game (4500+ MMR, Loss) (Phantom Lancer 6/13/6 K/D/A)

    - 9th game (4500+ MMR, Win) (Wind Ranger 8/5/12 K/D/A)

    - 10th game (4500+ MMR, Win) (Earth Shaker 3/7/20 K/D/A)

    So, another proof that winrate at calibration doesn't really affect your MMR.

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    Taco

      What is this.

      Metallicize

        is this the thread where people are supposed to ask about "what will my mmr be" TriHard

        JingleJangle

          Nope :) just some post to be based on. (Not like those "what will my mmr be" haha)

          faw

            screw u, fking smurf

            plz do

              u think u can hold ur mmr or r u gonna drop now?

              fragmare

                Is this a bragging thread or something, "see I didn't deserve to be in that shit tier!!!" or something? I think everyone already realizes that you can climb in normal matchmaking from your last account and then start calibration matches at a higher tier than your previous hence everyone "smurfing".

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                arin

                  I would love to see more progress as you play 1k above your original rating though, will you keep updating this thread?

                  Metallicize

                    HeyGuys

                    Relentless

                      I must say this calibration looks quite odd.

                      Your first 3 games, all loses and none with impressive stats lead the calibration to increase your MMR by 4 times the typical amount for winning the game. Perhaps the 4th loss did cause your MMR to drop.

                      Your 5th game, a win with strong stats does not appear to increase MMR.

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                      TripleSteal-

                        the listed stats are not the only ones to affect your mmr during calibration, it's a bit more multi-dimensional

                        Relentless

                          As far as I know Valve has declined to specify precisely what stats are considered in calibration. But can you identify anything from this game that would make you think it deserves a 100 MMR gain from a lost game?

                          https://www.dotabuff.com/matches/1792467832

                          KDA is lower than the global average, low for the game, average for the losing team. The xp and gpm are below average. The tower dmg is way below average. Hero dmg is low. Denies are low... maybe he got far more than engima's average of 3 wards/ game? But we can't see that stat. There is really no reason why this game should gain MMR.

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                          Last picking is 4 pussies

                            More reborn glitches in the matrix?

                            TripleSteal-

                              ^none of listed stats have a consistent positive correlation with how good you performed, neither with how skilled as a player you are. idk what kind of statistics valve currently uses to estimate ur performance, but from what ive seen recently, it works pretty much fine.

                              Relentless

                                It could be that they don't do anything with the stats at all unless they show you are vastly over or under performing. But even so how do you gain 100 MMR for a loss?

                                Whatever the case, the real test is whether he can hold that MMR over time or will he lose a lot of ranked games in next 100 games or so.

                                I think the real key to his high calibration MMR are these two games. The very first games he played in Normal.

                                https://www.dotabuff.com/matches/1621134073
                                https://www.dotabuff.com/matches/1621490414

                                With Tinker KDA of 55-2-20 for these games. That's the sort of performance I would expect an anti-smurf to identify and jump up in MMR.

                                And the very next game, he skips straight into Very High. Probably he has moved very little in MMR since that point.

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                                TripleSteal-

                                  in calibration, both in nmm and rmm, you gain/lose pts basing on how well you performed (relative to your role and your teammates), and it doesnt rly matter whether u won or lost. however, as i alrdy said, i got 0 clue how is your performanced currently measured and what stats are used.

                                  TripleSteal-

                                    yea, it would be interesting to see this guy's further success. to be really honest, i dont believe he'll be able to hold his mmr at this level.

                                    Everything Will Freeze

                                      calibration is broken as fuck, i went 10-0 with the best stats every game and got 4480.

                                      Ambulant

                                        so many bitter here. lellelelel

                                        vimeister

                                          may i ask how many games did it take till u get to lvl 50? xD

                                          Dominus

                                            Isnt the 100 point rise in MMR after the loss due to the average of his team mates, and not a rise in his own MMR, considering he was still calibrating? Idk.

                                            TripleSteal-

                                              ^it is possible, but it could happen w/o it as well. that's how calibration works.

                                              Trodlabundin

                                                ur first ranked game will be equal in mmr to your unranked. This means your numbers are extremely false.

                                                There's no way your unranked mmr is 4300mmr when you lose and gain mmr. I did this 3'4 weeeks ago or something.

                                                TripleSteal-

                                                  why cant his unranked mmr be 4.3?

                                                  Trodlabundin

                                                    it can, it just doesn't make sense his unranked is 4,3 and lose -> go up in mmr

                                                    TripleSteal-

                                                      im repeating myself so much recently

                                                      in calibration, both in nmm and rmm, you gain/lose pts basing on how well you performed (relative to your role and your teammates), and it doesnt rly matter whether u won or lost. however, as i alrdy said, i got 0 clue how is your performanced currently measured and what stats are used.

                                                      for example, if u smurf and ur first game will be in high skill bracket for some reason, and ur whole team will feed non stop on purpose, while u go 11-1-3 800 gpm as antimage, and u still lose game - then ur next game will be in vhs.
                                                      its easy to see how it works by looking through the first matches of an ccount which is in between vhs and hs - the mmr change doesnt correlate wi wins/losses.

                                                      Trodlabundin

                                                        ur are wrong fuckin retard :smile:

                                                        TripleSteal-

                                                          i might be :D

                                                          TripleSteal-

                                                            but as a believerboy u gotta believe, eh?

                                                            TripleSteal-

                                                              actually, the fact that wins and losses have low impact during ur calibration is kind of a common knowledge, as far as i thought. at least, all the boosters i saw streaming on twitch know it.

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                                                              Trodlabundin

                                                                U AHVE NO CLUE WTF U TALKIN ABOUT SO KEEP UR KMOUT H SHUT THX :laugh: :happy:

                                                                TripleSteal-

                                                                  okay plz no flamerino im a sensitive weaboo

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                                                                  JingleJangle

                                                                    I will keep an update on this if i can hold my MMR. So far I went 1-1. :3

                                                                    Riguma Borusu

                                                                      I won 7/10 calibration games and got calibrated @ 1200.

                                                                      But I sucked really bad either way.

                                                                      Sir

                                                                        It's an So called Inverse problem youre trying to solve with 1 atempt it basically shows nothing.

                                                                        its like saying "hey i played the lotery 1 time and won only 15 bucks"

                                                                        It does not show any meaningfull information in regards to how the system works.

                                                                        JingleJangle

                                                                          ^Actually i'm planning to do a new account and see if what factors really are involved. Even I abandoned 3 games because of PC problems, yeah. (So far, 2-2)

                                                                          lm ao

                                                                            Yow Original Poster nobody wants to suck your nutsack you peeenoise shitstain

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                                                                            Metallicize

                                                                              peenoise again fuck this word mane

                                                                              lm ao

                                                                                :3 *woof woof

                                                                                TheSpiderMonkey

                                                                                  Ur stats are quite impressive sincer ur first game !

                                                                                  saving private RTZ

                                                                                    Hmm, seems like you played some high skill ranked games recently.

                                                                                    and before that u had few VHS games, so I guess u lied about calibration in the first place. It seems like you calibrated around 3700-3800.

                                                                                    or you are not talking aboit this acc?

                                                                                    JingleJangle

                                                                                      ^ScareCrow thank you!

                                                                                      @Allu
                                                                                      Those Normal Skills and High Skills games, I'm with a party. :) when I solo, I get Very High.

                                                                                      saving private RTZ

                                                                                        Ah that makes sense

                                                                                        arin

                                                                                          by the way
                                                                                          it doesn't have to mean that when AVERAGE mmr goes up after loss, your own mmr goes up too
                                                                                          it might not be the case but there's difference between average mmr of your team and your own hidden mmr

                                                                                          JingleJangle

                                                                                            ^ yeah, my friends proved that your mmr in your last 5 games in calibration will not be moving anymore.

                                                                                            Immaterial

                                                                                              Question , how do you get these specifics? Like do you use console or a special website?

                                                                                              On an unrelated note.. You are super cute =)

                                                                                              TripleSteal-

                                                                                                ^you can find all this data in your dbuff profile

                                                                                                Sir

                                                                                                  Please dont listen to this nonsense it is missleading and wrong. If you do care for some reason and want to know search and you will find.